Gavekal Capital: Volume Expanding in Europe

Friday, October 10, 2014

Volume Expanding in Europe

Volume of shares traded in MSCI Europe have picked up recently.  Slightly less than half of the constituents have their 50-day moving average exceeding the one year moving average.  When we look at 20-day and 5-day moving averages, the proportion jumps to more than 60%--and close to 70%.

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This uptick in volume as shares slide makes us wonder if the number of down days has put in a low.  In some cases over the past few years, days down by 1% or more has tripled in just a couple of months' time.

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Are we headed for an acceleration to the downside in Europe?